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Working Paper · Oct 2025 Revised

Monetary Policy Transmission and Environmental Performance

with Dominykas Stasiulaitis · University of Oxford Department of Economics Discussion Papers

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Summary

Do firms with stronger environmental performance respond differently to monetary policy, and does it matter which part of the yield curve moves? Using high-frequency identification around FOMC announcements from 2005 to 2025, this paper shows that the key heterogeneity sits in forward-guidance or path shocks, not in current-rate shocks.

Before the Paris Agreement, greener firms were markedly more vulnerable to path shocks; after 2015 that vulnerability attenuates sharply, consistent with deeper green-finance markets improving hedging capacity. The broader message is that environmental transmission is not fixed: it evolves with financial-market structure and access.

Figure showing the evolution of environmental scores and coverage over time with the Paris Agreement marked.
Headline exhibit: the paper's mechanism is tied to the rise of environmental finance and the post-2015 regime shift, which is why the Paris-era break matters for interpretation.