Case studies · 2023
Eurodollar to SOFR: the 26.161bp migration
When the market moved from LIBOR-based Eurodollar futures to SOFR-based contracts, a fixed spread converted every outstanding position.
What happened
Four decades as the benchmark
For four decades, the Eurodollar future was the world's benchmark short-rate contract. CME launched it on 9 December 1981 as the first cash-settled futures contract ever traded. It was quoted on the same "100 minus rate" convention still used for the SOFR future today, and it settled in cash against three-month US dollar LIBOR at expiry. By 2004 it was trading more than a million contracts a day, and it held that position, the most actively traded interest rate future in the world, for the next two decades.
A rate with no future
Then LIBOR itself was retired. After the LIBOR manipulation scandal, regulators decided to replace it with SOFR, a rate built on actual, secured overnight Treasury-repo transactions rather than banks' self-reported borrowing estimates. That decision left a practical problem with no real historical precedent: millions of live Eurodollar contracts, some expiring years into the future, referenced a rate that was about to disappear. Cancelling these contracts outright was not an option, and asking every counterparty to renegotiate bilaterally was never realistic for a market this size.
A single, engineered conversion
CME's answer was a single, engineered conversion. On 14 April 2023, it converted essentially every remaining open Eurodollar futures and options position, contracts expiring after June 2023, into the economically equivalent SOFR futures and options contract. It did this by adding a fixed spread of 26.161 basis points to each Eurodollar settlement price. Only the May and June 2023 contracts were left alone, allowed to trade out to their own natural expiry. About 7.5 million contracts moved across in this one step. A second, related conversion followed on 3 July 2023, moving cleared zero-coupon and remaining LIBOR swaps, alongside roughly US$4 trillion notional of cleared USD LIBOR swaps converted earlier in the process, onto SOFR terms.
A market that barely moved
The most striking part of the story is how little actually seemed to happen. CME's own SOFR futures and options open interest rose by only about 66,000 contracts once the dust settled, even though 7.5 million contracts had just changed hands overnight. The reason is netting: most traders already held some SOFR exposure, so the converted Eurodollar position mostly cancelled against a position they already had. By the end of 2023, SOFR futures and options open interest stood at 48 million contracts, and average daily volume that year, nearly 6 million contracts, was 34% above the highest annual average Eurodollar futures and options had ever reached across their entire 42-year history.
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 1981 | CME launches the Eurodollar future, the world's first cash-settled futures contract, referencing three-month USD LIBOR. |
| 2004 | Eurodollar futures trade more than one million contracts a day, becoming the world's most actively traded interest rate future. |
| 5 Mar 2021 | ISDA and Bloomberg fix the fallback spread adjustment for three-month USD LIBOR at 26.161 basis points, based on a five-year historical median. |
| 6 Sep 2022 | CME proposes 14 April 2023 as the conversion date for all remaining open Eurodollar futures and options. |
| 26 Jan 2023 | The US Adjustable Interest Rate (LIBOR) Act's implementing regulations codify the same 26.161bp spread as a statutory fallback value. |
| 14 Apr 2023 | CME converts about 7.5 million open Eurodollar futures and options positions into equivalent SOFR contracts, adding the fixed 26.161bp spread to each settlement price. |
| 17 Apr 2023 | Data confirm the scale: 7,562,959 contracts converted, while SOFR open interest rises by only about 66,000 contracts, because most exposure nets out. |
| 30 Jun 2023 | The overnight and 12-month USD LIBOR panel settings cease permanently. |
| 3 Jul 2023 | CME completes a second conversion: cleared zero-coupon and remaining LIBOR swaps move to SOFR terms. |
The mechanics, in course language
Each side of a Eurodollar position was doing something specific. A trader short Eurodollar futures was locking in a borrowing rate, protected if rates rose. A trader long was locking in a lending or investment rate, protected if rates fell. The difference between the two reference rates is what makes the conversion non-trivial: SOFR is a secured, repo-based rate, while LIBOR was an unsecured, interbank-borrowing rate, so SOFR sits structurally below LIBOR by a credit and liquidity premium. Simply swapping "LIBOR" for "SOFR" in a contract, with no adjustment, would have quietly shifted value from one side of every position to the other. Adding the fixed 26.161bp spread to the settlement price is designed to cancel out exactly that structural gap, so that on the conversion date itself, nobody's economic position changed. Only the reference rate and the label did.
The episode turns the course's cost-of-carry and no-arbitrage logic into a market-design problem rather than a pricing problem. The spread here is not discovered by trading; it is fixed once, by a regulatory and industry convention (the ISDA and Bloomberg five-year historical median), and then applied identically to every contract, with no negotiation and no case-by-case pricing. It also illustrates how a benchmark rate works more generally: a benchmark is a convention the market has agreed to use, and when the convention changes, every contract that referenced the old one needs an explicit, engineered bridge to the new one. The near-invisible change in open interest after the fact, 66,000 contracts of net movement against 7.5 million gross conversions, is the clearest evidence of this. That gap illustrates how a well-designed, exchange-cleared migration can retire a benchmark that trillions of dollars of exposure depended on without a market disruption, precisely because the spread was fixed in advance and applied mechanically.
Data and facts
| Quantity | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Conversion date | 14 Apr 2023 | CME Group press release, 24 Apr 2023 |
| Fixed conversion spread (3-month USD LIBOR) | 26.161bp | ISDA fallback fixing; Federal Register, 26 Jan 2023 |
| Contracts converted | ≈7.5 million (7,562,959 precisely) | CME Group; Clarus Financial Technology |
| Cleared USD LIBOR swaps converted | ≈US$4 trillion notional | CME Group press release, 24 Apr 2023 |
| Net change in SOFR open interest after conversion | ≈66,000 contracts | Clarus Financial Technology, Apr 2023 |
| SOFR futures & options open interest, end 2023 | 48 million contracts | CME Group press release, 24 Apr 2023 |
| Eurodollar future launch date | 9 Dec 1981 | CME Group, 25th-anniversary release, 2006 |
| USD LIBOR panel cessation (overnight, 12-month) | 30 Jun 2023 | Financial Conduct Authority |
The lesson
- A benchmark rate is a market convention, not a natural fact. When the convention is retired, every contract that relied on it needs an explicit, engineered bridge to the replacement, and someone has to decide the terms of that bridge in advance.
- A conversion spread fixed by historical convention, here a five-year median gap between LIBOR and SOFR, is a modelling choice dressed as an administrative fact. It is transparent and defensible, but it is still a choice, not a market-discovered price.
- Designing a switch to be value-neutral on day one is what let millions of live positions migrate without disrupting the market. The near-invisible change in open interest afterwards is evidence the design worked, not evidence that nothing happened.
- Standardised, centrally cleared products can absorb an enormous structural change, a full benchmark replacement across roughly 7.5 million contracts and several trillion dollars of swaps, with far less friction than the same change would cause in bespoke, bilateral contracts, because netting and uniform rules do the heavy lifting.
Where it appears in the course
Think about it
- The 26.161bp spread was fixed once, by a five-year historical median, rather than left for the market to discover through trading. What would have gone wrong if CME had instead let each position convert at whatever spread the two counterparties agreed on the day?
- SOFR open interest rose by only about 66,000 contracts even though 7.5 million contracts were converted. What does that gap between "gross conversions" and "net change" tell you about who was actually trading Eurodollar futures by 2023?
- A benchmark rate is, in the end, just a convention the market has agreed to use. What other financial benchmarks can you think of that might need a similar engineered handover one day, and what would make that handover easy or hard?
Sources
- CME Group, "CME Group Completes Key Milestones in Conversion of Eurodollar Futures, Options and Cleared Swaps to SOFR-Based Derivatives," press release, 24 April 2023. cmegroup.com
- CME Group, "CME Group Proposes April 14, 2023 for Fallbacks Conversion of Eurodollar Futures and Options Contracts," press release, 6 September 2022. cmegroup.com
- CME Group, "LIBOR Fallback Specification: Eurodollar to SOFR," 1 February 2023. cmegroup.com
- International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA), "Frequently Asked Questions: IBOR Fallback Rate Adjustments," version 13, August 2024. isda.org
- Federal Register, "Regulations Implementing the Adjustable Interest Rate (LIBOR) Act," 26 January 2023. federalregister.gov
- Clarus Financial Technology, "CME converted your Eurodollars. This is what happened next," April 2023. clarusft.com
- CME Group, "CME Celebrates 25th Anniversary of Benchmark CME Eurodollar Futures Contract," press release, 5 December 2006. cmegroup.com
- Financial Conduct Authority, "The USD LIBOR panel ceases at end-June 2023: Are you ready?" and "The end of LIBOR," 2023-2024. fca.org.uk