Project news, research updates, announcements, grants, and selected teaching material.
Latest · Software · 24 October 2026
Convert Sicill-i Ahvâl biographies into CSV, JSON and SQLite with source quotations and explicit uncertainty. Includes Python, Codex and Claude Code instructions, and two real examples.
Project · 10 September 2026
AI Use and Occupations brings together 35 datasets, interactive country comparisons and documented links between AI activity, occupations and labour statistics.
Project · 10 June 2026
I launched the World Cup 2026 forecasting project at fatih.ai/worldcup2026. The site presents champion, group and match probabilities from 1.1 million simulations of the official 48-team bracket, with pages for forecasts, teams, players, data, models and research notes.
Research · 9 June 2026
My new football-forecasting study, Dominant Below, Drowning Above, uses five major European leagues from 1993/94 to 2025/26 to study promoted clubs as a domain-shift problem. The main result is that machine-learning models forecast established clubs well, but promoted clubs remain much harder to distinguish before the season begins.
Teaching · 8 June 2026
I added new Worcester College syllabuses for AI and Machine Learning and AI and Deep Learning. The two pages set out a practical sequence from data, prediction and model evaluation to neural networks, transformers, LLMs, agents and responsible AI.
Paper · 25 March 2026
Our recent paper, Data as Liability, studies whether AI adoption creates a disclosure-visible data-governance cost. Using SEC filings, we find that AI adoption, especially customer-facing deployment, is associated with higher disclosed attention to data-breach risk, while AI invention is economically much smaller once both margins are compared.
Research · 1 February 2026
My paper, The Immediate Global Impact of US Monetary Policy, measures international spillovers in the same high-frequency window as FOMC surprises. Using US-traded country ETFs, it shows that US monetary-policy news reprices non-US equity wealth within thirty minutes, even when many foreign cash markets are closed.