§ Teams · all 48 dossiers
Every nation, one dossier each
All 48 qualified teams. Each row opens that nation’s full dossier — forecast funnel, group path, match-by-match, strength profile, the decoupling read, the squad, context and Elo trajectory. Sort any column, or filter to find a team.
| # | Team | Grp | Confed | Champion | R16 | Power # | Draw luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇦🇷Argentina | J | CONMEBOL | 16.45% | 69.3% | 1 | −0.15 |
| 2 | 🇪🇸Spain | H | UEFA | 15.95% | 71.4% | 2 | +0.07 |
| 3 | 🇧🇷Brazil | C | CONMEBOL | 8.98% | 67.1% | 3 | −0.41 |
| 4 | 🏴England | L | UEFA | 8.96% | 68.9% | 5 | +0.23 |
| 5 | 🇫🇷France | I | UEFA | 8.94% | 68.1% | 4 | −0.15 |
| 6 | 🇵🇹Portugal | K | UEFA | 6.16% | 64.4% | 6 | +0.14 |
| 7 | 🇳🇱Netherlands | F | UEFA | 4.85% | 52.2% | 7 | −0.37 |
| 8 | 🇨🇴Colombia | K | CONMEBOL | 4.09% | 57.9% | 8 | +0.03 |
| 9 | 🇩🇪Germany | E | UEFA | 3.89% | 62.5% | 9 | −0.01 |
| 10 | 🇧🇪Belgium | G | UEFA | 2.48% | 61.9% | 11 | +0.41 |
| 11 | 🇳🇴Norway | I | UEFA | 2.42% | 50.8% | 10 | −0.11 |
| 12 | 🇲🇦Morocco | C | CAF | 1.97% | 44.9% | 13 | +0.08 |
| 13 | 🇪🇨Ecuador | E | CONMEBOL | 1.87% | 50.7% | 12 | −0.04 |
| 14 | 🇭🇷Croatia | L | UEFA | 1.78% | 47.0% | 15 | +0.03 |
| 15 | 🇨🇭Switzerland | B | UEFA | 1.72% | 60.6% | 16 | +0.19 |
| 16 | 🇯🇵Japan | F | AFC | 1.65% | 37.9% | 14 | −0.23 |
| 17 | 🇺🇾Uruguay | H | CONMEBOL | 1.37% | 37.2% | 17 | −0.02 |
| 18 | 🇲🇽Mexico | A | CONCACAF | 1.14% | 54.5% | 18 | +0.07 |
| 19 | 🇹🇷Türkiye | D | UEFA | 1.03% | 43.7% | 19 | +0.07 |
| 20 | 🇦🇹Austria | J | UEFA | 0.55% | 28.6% | 20 | −0.03 |
| 21 | 🇵🇾Paraguay | D | CONMEBOL | 0.54% | 35.6% | 21 | −0.01 |
| 22 | 🇸🇳Senegal | I | CAF | 0.45% | 30.1% | 22 | −0.07 |
| 23 | 🇮🇷IR Iran | G | AFC | 0.45% | 39.5% | 23 | +0.11 |
| 24 | 🇨🇦Canada | B | CONCACAF | 0.31% | 44.4% | 26 | +0.08 |
| 25 | 🇩🇿Algeria | J | CAF | 0.29% | 24.6% | 24 | −0.03 |
| 26 | 🇨🇿Czechia | A | UEFA | 0.28% | 35.6% | 28 | +0.06 |
| 27 | 🇦🇺Australia | D | AFC | 0.25% | 28.6% | 25 | −0.00 |
| 28 | 🇨🇮Côte d'Ivoire | E | CAF | 0.23% | 31.8% | 27 | −0.00 |
| 29 | 🏴Scotland | C | UEFA | 0.22% | 25.5% | 29 | +0.01 |
| 30 | 🇰🇷Korea Republic | A | AFC | 0.22% | 31.8% | 30 | +0.03 |
| 31 | 🇺🇸USA | D | CONCACAF | 0.17% | 29.4% | 31 | +0.01 |
| 32 | 🇸🇪Sweden | F | UEFA | 0.15% | 17.8% | 32 | −0.00 |
| 33 | 🇪🇬Egypt | G | CAF | 0.12% | 28.1% | 33 | +0.02 |
| 34 | 🇺🇿Uzbekistan | K | AFC | 0.02% | 8.4% | 36 | +0.01 |
| 35 | 🇨🇩Congo DR | K | CAF | 0.02% | 10.8% | 34 | −0.01 |
| 36 | 🇧🇦Bosnia and Herzegovina | B | UEFA | 0.02% | 19.2% | 37 | +0.01 |
| 37 | 🇹🇳Tunisia | F | CAF | 0.01% | 6.6% | 35 | −0.01 |
| 38 | 🇵🇦Panama | L | CONCACAF | 0.01% | 6.7% | 40 | +0.00 |
| 39 | 🇿🇦South Africa | A | CAF | 0.01% | 10.1% | 38 | +0.00 |
| 40 | 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia | H | AFC | 0.00% | 6.5% | 43 | +0.00 |
| 41 | 🇬🇭Ghana | L | CAF | 0.00% | 6.7% | 39 | −0.00 |
| 42 | 🇮🇶Iraq | I | AFC | 0.00% | 3.6% | 41 | −0.00 |
| 43 | 🇨🇻Cabo Verde | H | CAF | 0.00% | 4.5% | 45 | +0.00 |
| 44 | 🇨🇼Curaçao | E | CONCACAF | 0.00% | 0.4% | 48 | 0.00 |
| 45 | 🇶🇦Qatar | B | AFC | 0.00% | 2.8% | 47 | 0.00 |
| 46 | 🇳🇿New Zealand | G | OFC | 0.00% | 6.0% | 44 | −0.00 |
| 47 | 🇭🇹Haiti | C | CONCACAF | 0.00% | 1.4% | 46 | −0.00 |
| 48 | 🇯🇴Jordan | J | AFC | 0.00% | 3.5% | 42 | −0.00 |
Source · Oxford Football Forecasting model — 1.1M tournament simulations